Americans’ Feelings Mixed on Present, Future of Housing

Julie C. Nichols General – Tory Barringer

Housing optimism for the year ahead diminished somewhat in March, though signs largely point to a positive spring season. Fannie Mae released Monday its most recent National Housing Survey, revealing a slight softening in the housing recovery as monthly indicators remain volatile. According to results from the March survey, fewer than half of consumers polled expect home prices to continue rising over the next 12 months, continuing a trend of uncertainty that started as price gains began to slow noticeably last fall. Even among those expecting more increases, the average yearly change predicted is 2.7 percent, down half a percentage point from February.

“The housing recovery continues to proceed in fits and starts,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and chief economist at Fannie Mae. “Rising mortgage rates and a lack of supply have dampened housing market momentum.” According to Fannie, 54 percent of consumers last month said they expect rates to keep rising over the next year, while only 3 percent—an all-time survey low—anticipate declines. Looking at more immediate indicators, responses were more optimistic: More consumers now believe it is a good time to either buy or sell a home compared to February, and the share of those who believe it would be easy to get a mortgage today climbed back up to 52 percent, matching a survey high first recorded in January.

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